Posts tagged NRL (52)

March 9, 2012

NRL Predictions, Round 2

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Team Ratings for Round 2

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 2, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page
to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start
Sea Eagles 10.30 9.83
Broncos 6.10 5.57
Warriors 4.80 5.28
Dragons 4.51 4.36
Storm 4.34 4.63
Wests Tigers 3.24 4.52
Roosters 0.92 0.25
Knights 0.62 0.77
Rabbitohs -0.62 0.04
Bulldogs -0.98 -1.86
Cowboys -3.96 -1.32
Panthers -4.28 -3.40
Eels -4.77 -4.23
Sharks -6.69 -7.97
Raiders -8.12 -8.40
Titans -9.16 -11.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 8 matches played, 4 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 50%.

Here are the predictions for the games so far.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Knights vs. Dragons  Mar 01 14 – 15 0.91 FALSE
2 Eels vs. Broncos  Mar 02 6 – 18 -5.30 TRUE
3 Raiders vs. Storm  Mar 03 19 – 24 -8.53 TRUE
4 Panthers vs. Bulldogs  Mar 03 14 – 22 2.96 FALSE
5 Cowboys vs. Titans  Mar 03 0 – 18 14.98 FALSE
6 Warriors vs. Sea Eagles  Mar 04 20 – 26 -0.05 TRUE
7 Wests Tigers vs. Sharks  Mar 04 17 – 16 16.99 TRUE
8 Rabbitohs vs. Roosters  Mar 05 20 – 24 4.29 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 2

Here are the predictions for Round 2.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Sea Eagles vs. Wests Tigers  Mar 09 Sea Eagles 11.60
2 Broncos vs. Cowboys  Mar 09 Broncos 14.60
3 Titans vs. Raiders  Mar 10 Titans 3.50
4 Bulldogs vs. Dragons  Mar 10 Dragons -1.00
5 Sharks vs. Knights  Mar 11 Knights -2.80
6 Roosters vs. Panthers  Mar 11 Roosters 9.70
7 Storm vs. Rabbitohs  Mar 11 Storm 9.50
8 Eels vs. Warriors  Mar 12 Warriors -5.10

 

March 1, 2012

NRL Predictions, Week 1

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I will be producing predictions for the NRL this year as well as for the Super 15.

Ratings at the Beginning of the 2012 NRL Season

Here are the team ratings at the start of the NRL season.


Rating
Sea Eagles 9.83
Broncos 5.57
Warriors 5.28
Storm 4.63
Wests Tigers 4.52
Dragons 4.36
Knights 0.77
Roosters 0.25
Rabbitohs 0.04
Cowboys -1.32
Bulldogs -1.86
Panthers -3.40
Eels -4.23
Sharks -7.97
Raiders -8.40
Titans -11.80

 

Predictions for Round 1

I got caught out with the game starting tonight. I thought I had another day before producing my predictions. Anyway, here are the predictions for Round 1. The prediction is my estimated points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

 

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Knights vs. Dragons Mar 01 Knights 0.90
2 Eels vs. Broncos Mar 02 Broncos -5.30
3 Raiders vs. Storm Mar 03 Storm -8.50
4 Panthers vs. Bulldogs Mar 03 Panthers 3.00
5 Cowboys vs. Titans Mar 03 Cowboys 15.00
6 Warriors vs. Sea Eagles Mar 04 Sea Eagles -0.00
7 Wests Tigers vs. Sharks Mar 04 Wests Tigers 17.00
8 Rabbitohs vs. Roosters Mar 05 Rabbitohs 4.30

 

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