Posts tagged NRL (52)

July 31, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 21

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Team Ratings for Round 21

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 21, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Roosters 11.71 -5.68 17.40
Rabbitohs 10.15 5.23 4.90
Sea Eagles 8.34 4.78 3.60
Bulldogs 5.42 7.33 -1.90
Knights 5.11 0.44 4.70
Storm 1.73 9.73 -8.00
Warriors -0.25 -10.01 9.80
Raiders -0.31 2.03 -2.30
Sharks -1.60 -1.78 0.20
Panthers -2.57 -6.58 4.00
Cowboys -2.87 7.05 -9.90
Broncos -4.69 -1.55 -3.10
Dragons -4.72 -0.33 -4.40
Titans -5.63 -1.85 -3.80
Wests Tigers -8.35 -3.71 -4.60
Eels -15.19 -8.82 -6.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 144 matches played, 88 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.11%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Cowboys vs. Broncos Jul 26 16 – 18 8.40 FALSE
2 Bulldogs vs. Eels Jul 26 40 – 12 24.40 TRUE
3 Dragons vs. Raiders Jul 27 18 – 22 1.11 FALSE
4 Titans vs. Rabbitohs Jul 27 4 – 32 -7.11 TRUE
5 Warriors vs. Storm Jul 28 30 – 22 1.15 TRUE
6 Sharks vs. Panthers Jul 28 38 – 10 -0.16 FALSE
7 Knights vs. Roosters Jul 28 12 – 28 1.36 FALSE
8 Wests Tigers vs. Sea Eagles Jul 29 18 – 36 -10.74 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 21

Here are the predictions for Round 21. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Panthers vs. Roosters Aug 02 Roosters -9.80
2 Knights vs. Broncos Aug 02 Knights 14.30
3 Warriors vs. Sharks Aug 03 Warriors 5.80
4 Eels vs. Sea Eagles Aug 03 Sea Eagles -19.00
5 Cowboys vs. Rabbitohs Aug 03 Rabbitohs -8.50
6 Raiders vs. Storm Aug 04 Raiders 2.50
7 Titans vs. Wests Tigers Aug 04 Titans 7.20
8 Dragons vs. Bulldogs Aug 05 Bulldogs -5.60

 

July 24, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 20

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Team Ratings for Round 20

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 20, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Roosters 9.98 -5.68 15.70
Rabbitohs 8.06 5.23 2.80
Sea Eagles 7.61 4.78 2.80
Knights 6.84 0.44 6.40
Bulldogs 5.06 7.33 -2.30
Storm 2.41 9.73 -7.30
Panthers 0.24 -6.58 6.80
Raiders -0.82 2.03 -2.80
Warriors -0.94 -10.01 9.10
Cowboys -1.83 7.05 -8.90
Titans -3.54 -1.85 -1.70
Dragons -4.21 -0.33 -3.90
Sharks -4.42 -1.78 -2.60
Broncos -5.73 -1.55 -4.20
Wests Tigers -7.63 -3.71 -3.90
Eels -14.83 -8.82 -6.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 136 matches played, 84 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.76%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Wests Tigers vs. Warriors Jul 19 14 – 24 -0.23 TRUE
2 Raiders vs. Eels Jul 20 14 – 0 19.63 TRUE
3 Roosters vs. Sharks Jul 20 40 – 0 13.62 TRUE
4 Panthers vs. Knights Jul 21 14 – 32 1.88 FALSE
5 Sea Eagles vs. Titans Jul 21 38 – 20 15.07 TRUE
6 Rabbitohs vs. Dragons Jul 22 18 – 22 21.97 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 20

Here are the predictions for Round 20. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Cowboys vs. Broncos Jul 26 Cowboys 8.40
2 Bulldogs vs. Eels Jul 26 Bulldogs 24.40
3 Dragons vs. Raiders Jul 27 Dragons 1.10
4 Titans vs. Rabbitohs Jul 27 Rabbitohs -7.10
5 Warriors vs. Storm Jul 28 Warriors 1.10
6 Sharks vs. Panthers Jul 28 Panthers -0.20
7 Knights vs. Roosters Jul 28 Knights 1.40
8 Wests Tigers vs. Sea Eagles Jul 29 Sea Eagles -10.70

 

July 17, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 19

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Team Ratings for Round 19

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 19, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Rabbitohs 10.66 5.23 5.40
Roosters 7.34 -5.68 13.00
Sea Eagles 7.32 4.78 2.50
Bulldogs 5.06 7.33 -2.30
Knights 4.85 0.44 4.40
Storm 2.41 9.73 -7.30
Panthers 2.23 -6.58 8.80
Raiders -0.26 2.03 -2.30
Sharks -1.78 -1.78 0.00
Cowboys -1.83 7.05 -8.90
Warriors -1.92 -10.01 8.10
Titans -3.25 -1.85 -1.40
Broncos -5.73 -1.55 -4.20
Wests Tigers -6.65 -3.71 -2.90
Dragons -6.81 -0.33 -6.50
Eels -15.39 -8.82 -6.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 130 matches played, 80 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.54%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Broncos vs. Sharks Jul 12 18 – 19 0.94 FALSE
2 Eels vs. Panthers Jul 13 10 – 17 -14.66 TRUE
3 Bulldogs vs. Storm Jul 14 39 – 0 -0.81 FALSE
4 Cowboys vs. Sea Eagles Jul 15 14 – 34 -0.81 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 19

Here are the predictions for Round 19. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Wests Tigers vs. Warriors Jul 19 Warriors -0.20
2 Raiders vs. Eels Jul 20 Raiders 19.60
3 Roosters vs. Sharks Jul 20 Roosters 13.60
4 Panthers vs. Knights Jul 21 Panthers 1.90
5 Sea Eagles vs. Titans Jul 21 Sea Eagles 15.10
6 Rabbitohs vs. Dragons Jul 22 Rabbitohs 22.00

 

July 10, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 18

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Team Ratings for Round 18

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 18, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Rabbitohs 10.66 5.23 5.40
Roosters 7.34 -5.68 13.00
Storm 6.39 9.73 -3.30
Sea Eagles 5.40 4.78 0.60
Knights 4.85 0.44 4.40
Panthers 3.00 -6.58 9.60
Bulldogs 1.08 7.33 -6.20
Cowboys 0.09 7.05 -7.00
Raiders -0.26 2.03 -2.30
Warriors -1.92 -10.01 8.10
Sharks -1.98 -1.78 -0.20
Titans -3.25 -1.85 -1.40
Broncos -5.54 -1.55 -4.00
Wests Tigers -6.65 -3.71 -2.90
Dragons -6.81 -0.33 -6.50
Eels -16.16 -8.82 -7.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 126 matches played, 78 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.9%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Storm vs. Broncos Jul 05 32 – 0 12.54 TRUE
2 Sharks vs. Wests Tigers Jul 05 36 – 22 7.97 TRUE
3 Dragons vs. Roosters Jul 06 0 – 36 -3.06 TRUE
4 Titans vs. Panthers Jul 06 18 – 40 3.32 FALSE
5 Raiders vs. Cowboys Jul 07 26 – 18 3.19 TRUE
6 Bulldogs vs. Knights Jul 07 12 – 18 2.41 FALSE
7 Rabbitohs vs. Warriors Jul 07 30 – 13 17.10 TRUE
8 Sea Eagles vs. Eels Jul 08 50 – 10 22.57 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 18

Here are the predictions for Round 18. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Broncos vs. Sharks Jul 12 Broncos 0.90
2 Eels vs. Panthers Jul 13 Panthers -14.70
3 Bulldogs vs. Storm Jul 14 Storm -0.80
4 Cowboys vs. Sea Eagles Jul 15 Sea Eagles -0.80

 

July 3, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 17

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Team Ratings for Round 17

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 17, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Rabbitohs 10.67 5.23 5.40
Storm 4.45 9.73 -5.30
Roosters 4.05 -5.68 9.70
Knights 4.01 0.44 3.60
Sea Eagles 3.66 4.78 -1.10
Bulldogs 1.92 7.33 -5.40
Cowboys 0.57 7.05 -6.50
Panthers 0.47 -6.58 7.00
Titans -0.72 -1.85 1.10
Raiders -0.74 2.03 -2.80
Warriors -1.93 -10.01 8.10
Sharks -2.58 -1.78 -0.80
Dragons -3.52 -0.33 -3.20
Broncos -3.59 -1.55 -2.00
Wests Tigers -6.05 -3.71 -2.30
Eels -14.42 -8.82 -5.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 118 matches played, 72 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.02%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Rabbitohs vs. Raiders Jun 28 32 – 2 12.39 TRUE
2 Wests Tigers vs. Storm Jun 29 22 – 4 -11.99 FALSE
3 Panthers vs. Dragons Jun 29 25 – 10 6.85 TRUE
4 Knights vs. Titans Jun 30 46 – 16 4.04 TRUE
5 Warriors vs. Broncos Jun 30 18 – 16 7.21 TRUE
6 Cowboys vs. Sharks Jun 30 24 – 4 4.56 TRUE
7 Roosters vs. Sea Eagles Jul 01 18 – 12 4.61 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 17

Here are the predictions for Round 17. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Storm vs. Broncos Jul 05 Storm 12.50
2 Sharks vs. Wests Tigers Jul 05 Sharks 8.00
3 Dragons vs. Roosters Jul 06 Roosters -3.10
4 Titans vs. Panthers Jul 06 Titans 3.30
5 Raiders vs. Cowboys Jul 07 Raiders 3.20
6 Bulldogs vs. Knights Jul 07 Bulldogs 2.40
7 Rabbitohs vs. Warriors Jul 07 Rabbitohs 17.10
8 Sea Eagles vs. Eels Jul 08 Sea Eagles 22.60

 

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June 26, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 16

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Team Ratings for Round 16

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 16, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Rabbitohs 8.91 5.23 3.70
Storm 7.44 9.73 -2.30
Roosters 3.91 -5.68 9.60
Sea Eagles 3.80 4.78 -1.00
Bulldogs 1.92 7.33 -5.40
Titans 1.88 -1.85 3.70
Knights 1.42 0.44 1.00
Raiders 1.02 2.03 -1.00
Panthers -0.35 -6.58 6.20
Cowboys -0.97 7.05 -8.00
Sharks -1.04 -1.78 0.70
Warriors -1.41 -10.01 8.60
Dragons -2.70 -0.33 -2.40
Broncos -4.11 -1.55 -2.60
Wests Tigers -9.05 -3.71 -5.30
Eels -14.42 -8.82 -5.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 111 matches played, 66 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 59.46%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bulldogs vs. Roosters Jun 21 18 – 20 3.64 FALSE
2 Wests Tigers vs. Raiders Jun 22 17 – 12 -8.21 FALSE
3 Eels vs. Rabbitohs Jun 23 10 – 30 -18.53 TRUE
4 Titans vs. Storm Jun 24 18 – 12 -2.83 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 16

Here are the predictions for Round 16. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Rabbitohs vs. Raiders Jun 28 Rabbitohs 12.40
2 Wests Tigers vs. Storm Jun 29 Storm -12.00
3 Panthers vs. Dragons Jun 29 Panthers 6.90
4 Knights vs. Titans Jun 30 Knights 4.00
5 Warriors vs. Broncos Jun 30 Warriors 7.20
6 Cowboys vs. Sharks Jun 30 Cowboys 4.60
7 Roosters vs. Sea Eagles Jul 01 Roosters 4.60

 

June 19, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 15

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Team Ratings for Round 15

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 15, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Rabbitohs 8.76 5.23 3.50
Storm 8.33 9.73 -1.40
Sea Eagles 3.80 4.78 -1.00
Roosters 3.34 -5.68 9.00
Bulldogs 2.49 7.33 -4.80
Raiders 2.34 2.03 0.30
Knights 1.42 0.44 1.00
Titans 0.99 -1.85 2.80
Panthers -0.35 -6.58 6.20
Cowboys -0.97 7.05 -8.00
Sharks -1.04 -1.78 0.70
Warriors -1.41 -10.01 8.60
Dragons -2.70 -0.33 -2.40
Broncos -4.11 -1.55 -2.60
Wests Tigers -10.37 -3.71 -6.70
Eels -14.27 -8.82 -5.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 107 matches played, 65 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 60.75%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Dragons vs. Cowboys Jun 14 16 – 22 4.97 FALSE
2 Sea Eagles vs. Bulldogs Jun 14 30 – 32 7.76 FALSE
3 Raiders vs. Panthers Jun 15 24 – 12 5.99 TRUE
4 Sharks vs. Eels Jun 15 32 – 14 17.67 TRUE
5 Rabbitohs vs. Titans Jun 16 30 – 24 13.84 TRUE
6 Storm vs. Knights Jun 16 16 – 14 13.76 TRUE
7 Roosters vs. Warriors Jun 16 12 – 23 14.31 FALSE
8 Broncos vs. Wests Tigers Jun 17 32 – 12 8.44 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 15

Here are the predictions for Round 15. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bulldogs vs. Roosters Jun 21 Bulldogs 3.60
2 Wests Tigers vs. Raiders Jun 22 Raiders -8.20
3 Eels vs. Rabbitohs Jun 23 Rabbitohs -18.50
4 Titans vs. Storm Jun 24 Storm -2.80

 

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June 12, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 14

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Team Ratings for Round 14

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 14, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Rabbitohs 9.55 5.23 4.30
Storm 9.50 9.73 -0.20
Roosters 5.88 -5.68 11.60
Sea Eagles 4.77 4.78 -0.00
Raiders 1.74 2.03 -0.30
Bulldogs 1.51 7.33 -5.80
Panthers 0.25 -6.58 6.80
Knights 0.24 0.44 -0.20
Titans 0.21 -1.85 2.10
Sharks -1.07 -1.78 0.70
Dragons -1.60 -0.33 -1.30
Cowboys -2.07 7.05 -9.10
Warriors -3.94 -10.01 6.10
Broncos -5.27 -1.55 -3.70
Wests Tigers -9.21 -3.71 -5.50
Eels -14.24 -8.82 -5.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 99 matches played, 60 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 60.61%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Eels vs. Roosters Jun 07 24 – 38 -16.02 TRUE
2 Knights vs. Dragons Jun 08 8 – 14 9.43 FALSE
3 Cowboys vs. Bulldogs Jun 08 26 – 36 3.64 FALSE
4 Warriors vs. Sea Eagles Jun 09 18 – 16 -5.76 FALSE
5 Panthers vs. Wests Tigers Jun 09 18 – 20 17.95 FALSE
6 Storm vs. Sharks Jun 09 38 – 6 10.84 TRUE
7 Raiders vs. Broncos Jun 10 30 – 8 8.88 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 14

Here are the predictions for Round 14. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Dragons vs. Cowboys Jun 14 Dragons 5.00
2 Sea Eagles vs. Bulldogs Jun 14 Sea Eagles 7.80
3 Raiders vs. Panthers Jun 15 Raiders 6.00
4 Sharks vs. Eels Jun 15 Sharks 17.70
5 Rabbitohs vs. Titans Jun 16 Rabbitohs 13.80
6 Storm vs. Knights Jun 16 Storm 13.80
7 Roosters vs. Warriors Jun 16 Roosters 14.30
8 Broncos vs. Wests Tigers Jun 17 Broncos 8.40

 

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June 5, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 13

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Team Ratings for Round 13

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 13, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Rabbitohs 9.55 5.23 4.30
Storm 7.39 9.73 -2.30
Roosters 6.08 -5.68 11.80
Sea Eagles 5.55 4.78 0.80
Panthers 2.25 -6.58 8.80
Knights 1.78 0.44 1.30
Sharks 1.05 -1.78 2.80
Raiders 0.43 2.03 -1.60
Titans 0.21 -1.85 2.10
Bulldogs 0.15 7.33 -7.20
Cowboys -0.71 7.05 -7.80
Dragons -3.15 -0.33 -2.80
Broncos -3.96 -1.55 -2.40
Warriors -4.71 -10.01 5.30
Wests Tigers -11.21 -3.71 -7.50
Eels -14.44 -8.82 -5.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 92 matches played, 57 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.96%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bulldogs vs. Dragons May 31 16 – 14 9.24 TRUE
2 Rabbitohs vs. Knights Jun 01 25 – 18 13.58 TRUE
3 Titans vs. Cowboys Jun 02 31 – 12 2.02 TRUE
4 Broncos vs. Warriors Jun 03 18 – 56 16.07 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 13

Here are the predictions for Round 13. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Eels vs. Roosters Jun 07 Roosters -16.00
2 Knights vs. Dragons Jun 08 Knights 9.40
3 Cowboys vs. Bulldogs Jun 08 Cowboys 3.60
4 Warriors vs. Sea Eagles Jun 09 Sea Eagles -5.80
5 Panthers vs. Wests Tigers Jun 09 Panthers 18.00
6 Storm vs. Sharks Jun 09 Storm 10.80
7 Raiders vs. Broncos Jun 10 Raiders 8.90

 

May 30, 2013

NRL Predictions, Round 12

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Team Ratings for Round 12

Here are the team ratings prior to Round 12, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Rabbitohs 10.20 5.23 5.00
Storm 7.39 9.73 -2.30
Roosters 6.08 -5.68 11.80
Sea Eagles 5.55 4.78 0.80
Panthers 2.25 -6.58 8.80
Broncos 1.45 -1.55 3.00
Knights 1.13 0.44 0.70
Sharks 1.05 -1.78 2.80
Cowboys 0.99 7.05 -6.10
Bulldogs 0.87 7.33 -6.50
Raiders 0.43 2.03 -1.60
Titans -1.49 -1.85 0.40
Dragons -3.87 -0.33 -3.50
Warriors -10.12 -10.01 -0.10
Wests Tigers -11.21 -3.71 -7.50
Eels -14.44 -8.82 -5.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 88 matches played, 54 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.36%.

Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Wests Tigers vs. Cowboys May 24 22 – 20 -10.12 FALSE
2 Bulldogs vs. Broncos May 24 24 – 14 2.40 TRUE
3 Dragons vs. Panthers May 25 0 – 19 2.72 FALSE
4 Roosters vs. Storm May 25 18 – 26 5.99 FALSE
5 Sea Eagles vs. Raiders May 25 16 – 10 10.53 TRUE
6 Warriors vs. Knights May 26 28 – 12 -12.43 FALSE
7 Eels vs. Titans May 26 4 – 42 -1.07 TRUE
8 Sharks vs. Rabbitohs May 27 14 – 12 -6.32 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 12

Here are the predictions for Round 12. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bulldogs vs. Dragons May 31 Bulldogs 9.20
2 Rabbitohs vs. Knights Jun 01 Rabbitohs 13.60
3 Titans vs. Cowboys Jun 02 Titans 2.00
4 Broncos vs. Warriors Jun 03 Broncos 16.10

 

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