July 23, 2024

AFL Predictions for Week 21

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Team Ratings for Week 21

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Sydney Swans 24.93 9.23 15.70
Brisbane Lions 15.42 17.47 -2.10
Western Bulldogs 12.71 6.04 6.70
Carlton Blues 12.63 9.73 2.90
Fremantle Dockers 10.37 0.40 10.00
GWS Giants 10.23 12.60 -2.40
Geelong Cats 7.05 10.50 -3.40
Adelaide Crows 6.93 9.56 -2.60
Hawthorn Hawks 3.07 -11.08 14.10
Melbourne Demons 2.90 13.91 -11.00
Port Adelaide Power 2.10 8.83 -6.70
Collingwood 0.13 14.87 -14.70
Gold Coast Suns -1.96 -4.60 2.60
St Kilda Saints -2.54 -0.63 -1.90
Essendon Bombers -7.63 -17.70 10.10
Richmond Tigers -25.17 -6.13 -19.00
North Melbourne -30.16 -25.73 -4.40
West Coast Eagles -36.84 -43.10 6.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 162 matches played, 106 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Essendon Bombers vs. Adelaide Crows Jul 19 113 – 115 -6.60 TRUE
2 GWS Giants vs. Gold Coast Suns Jul 20 89 – 50 18.30 TRUE
3 St Kilda Saints vs. West Coast Eagles Jul 20 113 – 41 39.00 TRUE
4 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood Jul 20 133 – 67 -5.30 FALSE
5 Geelong Cats vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 20 48 – 95 10.20 FALSE
6 Port Adelaide Power vs. Richmond Tigers Jul 20 116 – 75 34.90 TRUE
7 Brisbane Lions vs. Sydney Swans Jul 21 79 – 77 -1.20 FALSE
8 Fremantle Dockers vs. Melbourne Demons Jul 21 116 – 66 11.60 TRUE
9 Carlton Blues vs. North Melbourne Jul 21 107 – 88 46.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 21

Here are the predictions for Week 21. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Carlton Blues vs. Port Adelaide Power Jul 26 Carlton Blues 19.50
2 North Melbourne vs. Geelong Cats Jul 27 Geelong Cats -28.20
3 Gold Coast Suns vs. Brisbane Lions Jul 27 Brisbane Lions -8.40
4 St Kilda Saints vs. Essendon Bombers Jul 27 St Kilda Saints 5.10
5 Melbourne Demons vs. GWS Giants Jul 27 Melbourne Demons 1.70
6 Fremantle Dockers vs. West Coast Eagles Jul 27 Fremantle Dockers 47.20
7 Collingwood vs. Richmond Tigers Jul 28 Collingwood 25.30
8 Sydney Swans vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 28 Sydney Swans 21.20
9 Adelaide Crows vs. Hawthorn Hawks Jul 28 Adelaide Crows 12.90

 

July 15, 2024

NRL Predictions for Round 20

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Team Ratings for Round 20

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Roosters 9.77 3.08 6.70
Panthers 9.58 14.73 -5.20
Storm 6.40 6.15 0.20
Sharks 4.58 2.94 1.60
Sea Eagles 3.44 -0.48 3.90
Broncos 2.08 9.07 -7.00
Cowboys 0.36 2.47 -2.10
Warriors -1.52 -0.07 -1.40
Rabbitohs -2.06 0.87 -2.90
Dolphins -2.42 -7.09 4.70
Bulldogs -2.78 -13.35 10.60
Dragons -3.66 -6.93 3.30
Knights -4.07 1.84 -5.90
Titans -4.86 -7.89 3.00
Eels -6.64 0.14 -6.80
Raiders -6.91 -4.31 -2.60
Wests Tigers -13.30 -13.15 -0.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 141 matches played, 83 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 58.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs Jul 11 36 – 28 1.90 TRUE
2 Sharks vs. Wests Tigers Jul 12 58 – 6 16.80 TRUE
3 Titans vs. Eels Jul 13 24 – 16 4.30 TRUE
4 Broncos vs. Dragons Jul 13 26 – 30 10.50 FALSE
5 Sea Eagles vs. Knights Jul 14 44 – 6 6.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 20

Here are the predictions for Round 20. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Raiders vs. Warriors Jul 19 Raiders 1.60
2 Rabbitohs vs. Wests Tigers Jul 20 Rabbitohs 11.20
3 Knights vs. Broncos Jul 20 Broncos -3.20
4 Storm vs. Roosters Jul 20 Roosters -0.40
5 Panthers vs. Dolphins Jul 21 Panthers 15.00
6 Sea Eagles vs. Titans Jul 21 Sea Eagles 11.30
7 Cowboys vs. Bulldogs Jul 21 Cowboys 6.10

 

Currie Cup Predictions for Round 3

By

Team Ratings for Round 3

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Cheetahs 10.16 6.37 3.80
Bulls 2.78 -0.48 3.30
Lions 1.77 -4.44 6.20
Pumas 0.54 4.30 -3.80
Sharks -0.42 0.96 -1.40
Western Province -0.99 0.59 -1.60
Griquas -3.66 -2.59 -1.10
Griffons -20.18 -14.70 -5.50

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 8 matches played, 4 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 50%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Griquas vs. Sharks Jul 12 34 – 31 -0.60 FALSE
2 Pumas vs. Lions Jul 13 21 – 75 12.80 FALSE
3 Cheetahs vs. Western Province Jul 13 37 – 17 13.30 TRUE
4 Griffons vs. Bulls Jul 14 10 – 52 -14.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 3

Here are the predictions for Round 3. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Lions vs. Griquas Jul 19 Lions 8.90
2 Pumas vs. Sharks Jul 19 Pumas 4.50
3 Bulls vs. Cheetahs Jul 20 Cheetahs -3.90
4 Griffons vs. Western Province Jul 22 Western Province -15.70

 

AFL Predictions for Week 20

By

Team Ratings for Week 20

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Sydney Swans 25.28 9.23 16.10
Brisbane Lions 15.07 17.47 -2.40
Carlton Blues 14.47 9.73 4.70
Geelong Cats 10.47 10.50 -0.00
Western Bulldogs 9.28 6.04 3.20
GWS Giants 8.78 12.60 -3.80
Fremantle Dockers 7.93 0.40 7.50
Adelaide Crows 7.43 9.56 -2.10
Melbourne Demons 5.34 13.91 -8.60
Collingwood 4.27 14.87 -10.60
Port Adelaide Power 1.43 8.83 -7.40
Gold Coast Suns -0.52 -4.60 4.10
Hawthorn Hawks -1.07 -11.08 10.00
St Kilda Saints -4.69 -0.63 -4.10
Essendon Bombers -8.13 -17.70 9.60
Richmond Tigers -24.50 -6.13 -18.40
North Melbourne -32.00 -25.73 -6.30
West Coast Eagles -34.69 -43.10 8.40

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 153 matches played, 100 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Collingwood vs. Geelong Cats Jul 12 71 – 91 6.30 FALSE
2 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Fremantle Dockers Jul 13 87 – 74 -3.70 FALSE
3 Sydney Swans vs. North Melbourne Jul 13 138 – 59 62.70 TRUE
4 Western Bulldogs vs. Carlton Blues Jul 13 100 – 86 -18.40 FALSE
5 Adelaide Crows vs. St Kilda Saints Jul 13 71 – 39 18.00 TRUE
6 Melbourne Demons vs. Essendon Bombers Jul 13 84 – 67 12.50 TRUE
7 Gold Coast Suns vs. Port Adelaide Power Jul 14 96 – 82 5.10 TRUE
8 Richmond Tigers vs. GWS Giants Jul 14 84 – 108 -24.40 TRUE
9 West Coast Eagles vs. Brisbane Lions Jul 14 93 – 106 -44.90 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 20

Here are the predictions for Week 20. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Essendon Bombers vs. Adelaide Crows Jul 19 Adelaide Crows -6.60
2 GWS Giants vs. Gold Coast Suns Jul 20 GWS Giants 18.30
3 St Kilda Saints vs. West Coast Eagles Jul 20 St Kilda Saints 39.00
4 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood Jul 20 Collingwood -5.30
5 Geelong Cats vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 20 Geelong Cats 10.20
6 Port Adelaide Power vs. Richmond Tigers Jul 20 Port Adelaide Power 34.90
7 Brisbane Lions vs. Sydney Swans Jul 21 Sydney Swans -1.20
8 Fremantle Dockers vs. Melbourne Demons Jul 21 Fremantle Dockers 11.60
9 Carlton Blues vs. North Melbourne Jul 21 Carlton Blues 46.50

 

July 9, 2024

NRL Predictions for Round 19

By

Team Ratings for Round 19

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Roosters 9.77 3.08 6.70
Panthers 9.58 14.73 -5.20
Storm 6.40 6.15 0.20
Broncos 2.97 9.07 -6.10
Sharks 2.52 2.94 -0.40
Sea Eagles 1.60 -0.48 2.10
Cowboys 0.36 2.47 -2.10
Warriors -1.52 -0.07 -1.40
Rabbitohs -1.67 0.87 -2.50
Knights -2.23 1.84 -4.10
Bulldogs -2.78 -13.35 10.60
Dolphins -2.81 -7.09 4.30
Dragons -4.55 -6.93 2.40
Titans -5.10 -7.89 2.80
Eels -6.40 0.14 -6.50
Raiders -6.91 -4.31 -2.60
Wests Tigers -11.23 -13.15 1.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 136 matches played, 79 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 58.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Eels vs. Rabbitohs Jul 04 16 – 32 0.20 FALSE
2 Sharks vs. Titans Jul 05 16 – 20 9.20 FALSE
3 Broncos vs. Panthers Jul 05 6 – 14 -3.00 TRUE
4 Bulldogs vs. Warriors Jul 06 13 – 12 6.40 TRUE
5 Wests Tigers vs. Storm Jul 06 28 – 40 -15.00 TRUE
6 Cowboys vs. Sea Eagles Jul 06 20 – 21 2.20 FALSE
7 Roosters vs. Dragons Jul 07 42 – 12 15.60 TRUE
8 Raiders vs. Knights Jul 07 12 – 16 -1.30 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 19

Here are the predictions for Round 19. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs Jul 11 Dolphins 1.90
2 Sharks vs. Wests Tigers Jul 12 Sharks 16.80
3 Titans vs. Eels Jul 13 Titans 4.30
4 Broncos vs. Dragons Jul 13 Broncos 10.50
5 Sea Eagles vs. Knights Jul 14 Sea Eagles 6.80

 

AFL Predictions for Week 19

By

Team Ratings for Week 19

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Sydney Swans 23.49 9.23 14.30
Brisbane Lions 17.16 17.47 -0.30
Carlton Blues 16.59 9.73 6.90
Fremantle Dockers 9.76 0.40 9.40
GWS Giants 8.82 12.60 -3.80
Geelong Cats 8.70 10.50 -1.80
Western Bulldogs 7.16 6.04 1.10
Collingwood 6.04 14.87 -8.80
Adelaide Crows 5.90 9.56 -3.70
Melbourne Demons 4.85 13.91 -9.10
Port Adelaide Power 2.41 8.83 -6.40
Gold Coast Suns -1.50 -4.60 3.10
Hawthorn Hawks -2.90 -11.08 8.20
St Kilda Saints -3.15 -0.63 -2.50
Essendon Bombers -7.63 -17.70 10.10
Richmond Tigers -24.54 -6.13 -18.40
North Melbourne -30.21 -25.73 -4.50
West Coast Eagles -36.78 -43.10 6.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 144 matches played, 94 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65.3%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Collingwood vs. Essendon Bombers Jul 05 80 – 92 17.60 FALSE
2 North Melbourne vs. Gold Coast Suns Jul 06 87 – 83 -23.40 FALSE
3 Port Adelaide Power vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 06 102 – 54 -1.90 FALSE
4 Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks Jul 06 110 – 59 16.10 TRUE
5 GWS Giants vs. Carlton Blues Jul 06 116 – 104 -1.80 FALSE
6 Fremantle Dockers vs. Richmond Tigers Jul 06 105 – 54 41.10 TRUE
7 Melbourne Demons vs. West Coast Eagles Jul 07 112 – 58 49.70 TRUE
8 St Kilda Saints vs. Sydney Swans Jul 07 84 – 82 -20.80 FALSE
9 Brisbane Lions vs. Adelaide Crows Jul 07 97 – 86 22.90 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 19

Here are the predictions for Week 19. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Collingwood vs. Geelong Cats Jul 12 Collingwood 6.30
2 Hawthorn Hawks vs. Fremantle Dockers Jul 13 Fremantle Dockers -3.70
3 Sydney Swans vs. North Melbourne Jul 13 Sydney Swans 62.70
4 Western Bulldogs vs. Carlton Blues Jul 13 Carlton Blues -18.40
5 Adelaide Crows vs. St Kilda Saints Jul 13 Adelaide Crows 18.00
6 Melbourne Demons vs. Essendon Bombers Jul 13 Melbourne Demons 12.50
7 Gold Coast Suns vs. Port Adelaide Power Jul 14 Gold Coast Suns 5.10
8 Richmond Tigers vs. GWS Giants Jul 14 GWS Giants -24.40
9 West Coast Eagles vs. Brisbane Lions Jul 14 Brisbane Lions -44.90

 

July 2, 2024

NRL Predictions for Round 18

By

Team Ratings for Round 18

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Panthers 9.25 14.73 -5.50
Roosters 8.89 3.08 5.80
Storm 6.60 6.15 0.40
Sharks 3.33 2.94 0.40
Broncos 3.30 9.07 -5.80
Sea Eagles 1.39 -0.48 1.90
Cowboys 0.57 2.47 -1.90
Warriors -1.87 -0.07 -1.80
Knights -2.42 1.84 -4.30
Bulldogs -2.43 -13.35 10.90
Rabbitohs -2.66 0.87 -3.50
Dolphins -2.81 -7.09 4.30
Dragons -3.66 -6.93 3.30
Eels -5.41 0.14 -5.50
Titans -5.91 -7.89 2.00
Raiders -6.72 -4.31 -2.40
Wests Tigers -11.43 -13.15 1.70

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 128 matches played, 74 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 57.8%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bulldogs vs. Sharks Jun 28 15 – 14 -3.30 FALSE
2 Warriors vs. Broncos Jun 29 32 – 16 -0.10 FALSE
3 Knights vs. Eels Jun 29 34 – 26 5.70 TRUE
4 Storm vs. Raiders Jun 29 16 – 6 17.20 TRUE
5 Dragons vs. Dolphins Jun 30 26 – 6 -0.30 FALSE
6 Panthers vs. Cowboys Jun 30 6 – 16 14.60 FALSE
7 Roosters vs. Wests Tigers Jun 30 40 – 6 21.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 18

Here are the predictions for Round 18. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Eels vs. Rabbitohs Jul 04 Eels 0.20
2 Sharks vs. Titans Jul 05 Sharks 9.20
3 Broncos vs. Panthers Jul 05 Panthers -3.00
4 Bulldogs vs. Warriors Jul 06 Bulldogs 6.40
5 Wests Tigers vs. Storm Jul 06 Storm -15.00
6 Cowboys vs. Sea Eagles Jul 06 Cowboys 2.20
7 Roosters vs. Dragons Jul 07 Roosters 15.60
8 Raiders vs. Knights Jul 07 Knights -1.30

 

AFL Predictions for Week 18

By

Team Ratings for Week 18

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Sydney Swans 25.06 9.23 15.80
Brisbane Lions 18.46 17.47 1.00
Carlton Blues 18.11 9.73 8.40
Western Bulldogs 10.21 6.04 4.20
Fremantle Dockers 8.68 0.40 8.30
Collingwood 8.00 14.87 -6.90
GWS Giants 7.30 12.60 -5.30
Geelong Cats 6.45 10.50 -4.00
Adelaide Crows 4.59 9.56 -5.00
Melbourne Demons 4.37 13.91 -9.50
Gold Coast Suns 0.34 -4.60 4.90
Port Adelaide Power -0.64 8.83 -9.50
Hawthorn Hawks -0.65 -11.08 10.40
St Kilda Saints -4.72 -0.63 -4.10
Essendon Bombers -9.59 -17.70 8.10
Richmond Tigers -23.46 -6.13 -17.30
North Melbourne -32.04 -25.73 -6.30
West Coast Eagles -36.31 -43.10 6.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 135 matches played, 90 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 66.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Brisbane Lions vs. Melbourne Demons Jun 28 86 – 81 26.00 TRUE
2 North Melbourne vs. Western Bulldogs Jun 29 60 – 77 -35.90 TRUE
3 Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Jun 29 98 – 99 29.40 FALSE
4 Gold Coast Suns vs. Collingwood Jun 29 101 – 90 -1.40 FALSE
5 Adelaide Crows vs. GWS Giants Jun 29 94 – 78 3.60 TRUE
6 Geelong Cats vs. Essendon Bombers Jun 29 105 – 60 21.90 TRUE
7 St Kilda Saints vs. Port Adelaide Power Jun 30 60 – 62 6.90 FALSE
8 Richmond Tigers vs. Carlton Blues Jun 30 70 – 131 -28.30 TRUE
9 West Coast Eagles vs. Hawthorn Hawks Jun 30 33 – 94 -21.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 18

Here are the predictions for Week 18. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Collingwood vs. Essendon Bombers Jul 05 Collingwood 17.60
2 North Melbourne vs. Gold Coast Suns Jul 06 Gold Coast Suns -23.40
3 Port Adelaide Power vs. Western Bulldogs Jul 06 Western Bulldogs -1.90
4 Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks Jul 06 Geelong Cats 16.10
5 GWS Giants vs. Carlton Blues Jul 06 Carlton Blues -1.80
6 Fremantle Dockers vs. Richmond Tigers Jul 06 Fremantle Dockers 41.10
7 Melbourne Demons vs. West Coast Eagles Jul 07 Melbourne Demons 49.70
8 St Kilda Saints vs. Sydney Swans Jul 07 Sydney Swans -20.80
9 Brisbane Lions vs. Adelaide Crows Jul 07 Brisbane Lions 22.90

 

June 25, 2024

Top 14 Predictions for the Final

By

Team Ratings for the Final

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Stade Toulousain 8.06 7.24 0.80
Bordeaux Begles 5.43 4.07 1.40
Toulon 5.42 3.11 2.30
Stade Rochelais 5.34 6.40 -1.10
Racing 92 3.00 3.42 -0.40
Stade Francais 1.78 2.62 -0.80
Section Paloise 1.32 -0.44 1.80
Clermont 0.44 1.47 -1.00
Castres Olympique -0.14 -0.39 0.30
Lyon -0.14 2.97 -3.10
Montpellier -0.97 2.09 -3.10
USA Perpignan -1.07 -3.64 2.60
Bayonne -1.83 -1.32 -0.50
US Oyonnax -9.02 -10.00 1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 186 matches played, 138 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 74.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Stade Toulousain vs. Stade Rochelais Jun 22 39 – 23 1.80 TRUE
2 Stade Francais vs. Bordeaux Begles Jun 23 20 – 22 -3.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for the Final

Here are the predictions for the Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Stade Toulousain vs. Bordeaux Begles Jun 29 Stade Toulousain 9.10

 

AFL Predictions for Week 17

By

Team Ratings for Week 17

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Sydney Swans 27.06 9.23 17.80
Brisbane Lions 19.93 17.47 2.50
Carlton Blues 15.97 9.73 6.20
Western Bulldogs 11.55 6.04 5.50
Collingwood 9.36 14.87 -5.50
GWS Giants 8.67 12.60 -3.90
Fremantle Dockers 6.67 0.40 6.30
Geelong Cats 4.86 10.50 -5.60
Adelaide Crows 3.22 9.56 -6.30
Melbourne Demons 2.91 13.91 -11.00
Gold Coast Suns -1.03 -4.60 3.60
Port Adelaide Power -1.62 8.83 -10.40
Hawthorn Hawks -3.14 -11.08 7.90
St Kilda Saints -3.74 -0.63 -3.10
Essendon Bombers -8.00 -17.70 9.70
Richmond Tigers -21.33 -6.13 -15.20
North Melbourne -33.38 -25.73 -7.70
West Coast Eagles -33.82 -43.10 9.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 126 matches played, 84 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 66.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Carlton Blues vs. Geelong Cats Jun 21 138 – 75 14.10 TRUE
2 Port Adelaide Power vs. Brisbane Lions Jun 22 73 – 152 -3.90 TRUE
3 GWS Giants vs. Sydney Swans Jun 22 75 – 102 -6.50 TRUE
4 Melbourne Demons vs. North Melbourne Jun 22 70 – 67 51.20 TRUE
5 Essendon Bombers vs. West Coast Eagles Jun 23 122 – 92 36.20 TRUE
6 Fremantle Dockers vs. Gold Coast Suns Jun 23 85 – 65 15.80 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 17

Here are the predictions for Week 17. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Brisbane Lions vs. Melbourne Demons Jun 28 Brisbane Lions 26.00
2 North Melbourne vs. Western Bulldogs Jun 29 Western Bulldogs -35.90
3 Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers Jun 29 Sydney Swans 29.40
4 Gold Coast Suns vs. Collingwood Jun 29 Collingwood -1.40
5 Adelaide Crows vs. GWS Giants Jun 29 Adelaide Crows 3.60
6 Geelong Cats vs. Essendon Bombers Jun 29 Geelong Cats 21.90
7 St Kilda Saints vs. Port Adelaide Power Jun 30 St Kilda Saints 6.90
8 Richmond Tigers vs. Carlton Blues Jun 30 Carlton Blues -28.30
9 West Coast Eagles vs. Hawthorn Hawks Jun 30 Hawthorn Hawks -21.70

 

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