Pro14 Predictions for Round 8 Delayed Match
Team Ratings for Round 8 Delayed Match
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
---|---|---|---|
Leinster | 16.11 | 12.20 | 3.90 |
Munster | 7.81 | 10.73 | -2.90 |
Glasgow Warriors | 6.69 | 9.66 | -3.00 |
Ulster | 5.09 | 1.89 | 3.20 |
Edinburgh | 4.82 | 1.24 | 3.60 |
Scarlets | 3.47 | 3.91 | -0.40 |
Connacht | 0.45 | 2.68 | -2.20 |
Cardiff Blues | 0.41 | 0.54 | -0.10 |
Cheetahs | -0.25 | -3.38 | 3.10 |
Ospreys | -3.65 | 2.80 | -6.50 |
Treviso | -4.04 | -1.33 | -2.70 |
Dragons | -8.38 | -9.31 | 0.90 |
Southern Kings | -14.02 | -14.70 | 0.70 |
Zebre | -14.51 | -16.93 | 2.40 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 68 matches played, 52 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 76.5%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cardiff Blues vs. Scarlets | Jan 04 | 14 – 16 | 2.80 | FALSE |
2 | Ulster vs. Munster | Jan 04 | 38 – 17 | 0.80 | TRUE |
3 | Treviso vs. Glasgow Warriors | Jan 04 | 19 – 38 | -3.00 | TRUE |
4 | Dragons vs. Ospreys | Jan 05 | 25 – 18 | -1.20 | FALSE |
5 | Zebre vs. Cheetahs | Jan 05 | 41 – 13 | -10.10 | FALSE |
6 | Leinster vs. Connacht | Jan 05 | 54 – 7 | 18.80 | TRUE |
7 | Edinburgh vs. Southern Kings | Jan 05 | 61 – 13 | 23.70 | TRUE |
Predictions for Round 8 Delayed Match
Here are the predictions for Round 8 Delayed Match. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Southern Kings vs. Cheetahs | Jan 26 | Cheetahs | -8.80 |
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