November 2, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: October 31 – November 6 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
Posts filed under Stat of the Week (619)
October 26, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: October 24 – 30 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday October 30 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of October 24 – 30 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: October 24 – 30 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
October 21, 2015
Currie Cup Predictions for the Currie Cup Final
Team Ratings for the Currie Cup Final
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
| Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 5.99 | 3.04 | 2.90 |
| Western Province | 5.35 | 4.93 | 0.40 |
| Blue Bulls | 1.71 | 0.17 | 1.50 |
| Sharks | 1.51 | 3.43 | -1.90 |
| Cheetahs | -2.30 | -1.75 | -0.60 |
| Pumas | -6.66 | -6.47 | -0.20 |
| Griquas | -9.36 | -7.81 | -1.60 |
| Kings | -10.14 | -9.44 | -0.70 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 42 matches played, 30 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
| Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Bulls vs. Western Province | Oct 16 | 18 – 23 | 0.40 | FALSE |
| 2 | Lions vs. Cheetahs | Oct 17 | 43 – 33 | 12.00 | TRUE |
Predictions for the Currie Cup Final
Here are the predictions for the Currie Cup Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
| Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lions vs. Western Province | Oct 24 | Lions | 4.10 |
October 19, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: October 17 – 23 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday October 23 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of October 17 – 23 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: October 17 – 23 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
October 12, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: October 10 – 16 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday October 16 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of October 10 – 16 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: October 10 – 16 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!
October 5, 2015
Stat of the Week Competition: October 3 – 9 2015
Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.
Here’s how it works:
- Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday October 9 2015.
- Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
- The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of October 3 – 9 2015 inclusive.
- Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.
Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.
Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: October 3 – 9 2015
If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!