Posts filed under Stat of the Week (619)

March 28, 2016

Stat of the Week Competition: March 26 – April 1 2016

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Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 1 2016.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of March 26 – April 1 2016 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

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Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: March 26 – April 1 2016

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If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

March 23, 2016

NRL Predictions for Round 4

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Team Ratings for Round 4

The basic method is described on my Department home page.

Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Cowboys 11.02 10.29 0.70
Broncos 8.71 9.81 -1.10
Roosters 5.20 11.20 -6.00
Storm 4.25 4.41 -0.20
Rabbitohs 3.63 -1.20 4.80
Bulldogs 1.40 1.50 -0.10
Sharks 0.55 -1.06 1.60
Raiders -0.35 -0.55 0.20
Dragons -1.06 -0.10 -1.00
Sea Eagles -1.48 0.36 -1.80
Eels -2.05 -4.62 2.60
Panthers -2.39 -3.06 0.70
Wests Tigers -3.99 -4.06 0.10
Titans -6.51 -8.39 1.90
Warriors -7.02 -7.47 0.40
Knights -8.24 -5.41 -2.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 24 matches played, 14 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 58.3%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Cowboys vs. Roosters Mar 17 40 – 0 4.00 TRUE
2 Bulldogs vs. Eels Mar 18 6 – 20 9.70 FALSE
3 Knights vs. Raiders Mar 19 24 – 24 -5.80 FALSE
4 Panthers vs. Broncos Mar 19 23 – 22 -9.60 FALSE
5 Titans vs. Wests Tigers Mar 19 30 – 18 -1.40 FALSE
6 Warriors vs. Storm Mar 20 14 – 21 -7.30 TRUE
7 Dragons vs. Rabbitohs Mar 20 8 – 6 -2.40 FALSE
8 Sea Eagles vs. Sharks Mar 21 22 – 12 -0.50 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 4

Here are the predictions for Round 4. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Rabbitohs vs. Bulldogs Mar 25 Rabbitohs 5.20
2 Broncos vs. Cowboys Mar 25 Broncos 0.70
3 Raiders vs. Titans Mar 26 Raiders 9.20
4 Roosters vs. Sea Eagles Mar 26 Roosters 9.70
5 Dragons vs. Panthers Mar 27 Dragons 4.30
6 Warriors vs. Knights Mar 28 Warriors 5.20
7 Wests Tigers vs. Eels Mar 28 Wests Tigers 1.10
8 Sharks vs. Storm Mar 28 Storm -0.70

 

March 21, 2016

Stat of the Week Competition: March 19 – 25 2016

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Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday March 25 2016.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of March 19 – 25 2016 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

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Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: March 19 – 25 2016

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If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

March 14, 2016

Stat of the Week Competition: March 12 – 18 2016

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Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday March 18 2016.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of March 12 – 18 2016 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: March 12 – 18 2016

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If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

December 14, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: December 12 – 18 2015

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Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday December 18 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of December 12 – 18 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

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Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: December 12 – 18 2015

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If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!

December 7, 2015

Stat of the Week Competition: December 5 – 11 2015

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Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday December 11 2015.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of December 5 – 11 2015 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

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