Currie Cup Predictions for Round 13
Team Ratings for Round 13
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
---|---|---|---|
Bulls | 6.26 | 5.14 | 1.10 |
Sharks | 5.08 | 5.19 | -0.10 |
Western Province | 2.05 | 3.28 | -1.20 |
Lions | -0.71 | 3.74 | -4.50 |
Cheetahs | -2.78 | -2.17 | -0.60 |
Pumas | -3.76 | -5.67 | 1.90 |
Griquas | -6.15 | -9.50 | 3.40 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 29 matches played, 18 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 62.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Pumas vs. Bulls | Aug 18 | 26 – 33 | -7.00 | TRUE |
2 | Cheetahs vs. Griquas | Aug 18 | 33 – 32 | 7.00 | TRUE |
3 | Western Province vs. Lions | Aug 19 | 35 – 13 | 4.40 | TRUE |
Predictions for Round 13
Here are the predictions for Round 13. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Griquas vs. Western Province | Aug 21 | Western Province | -5.20 |
2 | Pumas vs. Cheetahs | Aug 21 | Pumas | 2.00 |
3 | Lions vs. Sharks | Aug 22 | Sharks | -2.80 |