NRL Predictions for Finals Week 2
Team Ratings for Finals Week 2
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
---|---|---|---|
Storm | 11.46 | 6.15 | 5.30 |
Panthers | 8.22 | 14.73 | -6.50 |
Roosters | 6.98 | 3.08 | 3.90 |
Sharks | 5.88 | 2.94 | 2.90 |
Cowboys | 4.93 | 2.47 | 2.50 |
Sea Eagles | 3.68 | -0.48 | 4.20 |
Bulldogs | -0.76 | -13.35 | 12.60 |
Knights | -1.10 | 1.84 | -2.90 |
Warriors | -2.75 | -0.07 | -2.70 |
Dolphins | -3.15 | -7.09 | 3.90 |
Broncos | -3.54 | 9.07 | -12.60 |
Eels | -3.54 | 0.14 | -3.70 |
Raiders | -5.26 | -4.31 | -0.90 |
Rabbitohs | -5.81 | 0.87 | -6.70 |
Dragons | -6.05 | -6.93 | 0.90 |
Titans | -7.25 | -7.89 | 0.60 |
Wests Tigers | -13.94 | -13.15 | -0.80 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 208 matches played, 127 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 61.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Panthers vs. Roosters | Sep 13 | 30 – 10 | 2.10 | TRUE |
2 | Storm vs. Sharks | Sep 14 | 37 – 10 | 6.10 | TRUE |
3 | Cowboys vs. Knights | Sep 14 | 28 – 16 | 8.60 | TRUE |
4 | Bulldogs vs. Sea Eagles | Sep 15 | 22 – 24 | -1.30 | TRUE |
Predictions for Finals Week 2
Here are the predictions for Finals Week 2. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sharks vs. Cowboys | Sep 20 | Sharks | 4.00 |
2 | Roosters vs. Sea Eagles | Sep 21 | Roosters | 6.30 |