NRL Predictions for Round 1
Team Ratings for Round 1
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
---|---|---|---|
Panthers | 12.99 | 12.99 | -0.00 |
Storm | 11.21 | 11.21 | 0.00 |
Rabbitohs | 9.35 | 9.35 | -0.00 |
Roosters | 7.64 | 7.64 | -0.00 |
Eels | 6.78 | 6.78 | 0.00 |
Cowboys | 6.23 | 6.23 | 0.00 |
Sharks | 4.50 | 4.50 | -0.00 |
Raiders | 1.98 | 1.98 | 0.00 |
Dragons | -2.73 | -2.73 | -0.00 |
Sea Eagles | -5.26 | -5.26 | -0.00 |
Broncos | -5.92 | -5.92 | 0.00 |
Titans | -6.32 | -6.32 | -0.00 |
Bulldogs | -8.29 | -8.29 | -0.00 |
Knights | -9.53 | -9.53 | -0.00 |
Dolphins | -10.00 | -10.00 | 0.00 |
Warriors | -11.12 | -11.12 | 0.00 |
Wests Tigers | -13.52 | -13.52 | -0.00 |
Predictions for Round 1
Here are the predictions for Round 1. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Eels vs. Storm | Mar 02 | Storm | -1.40 |
2 | Warriors vs. Knights | Mar 03 | Warriors | 4.40 |
3 | Panthers vs. Broncos | Mar 03 | Panthers | 21.90 |
4 | Sea Eagles vs. Bulldogs | Mar 04 | Sea Eagles | 6.00 |
5 | Cowboys vs. Raiders | Mar 04 | Cowboys | 7.20 |
6 | Sharks vs. Rabbitohs | Mar 04 | Rabbitohs | -1.90 |
7 | Dolphins vs. Roosters | Mar 05 | Roosters | -14.60 |
8 | Wests Tigers vs. Titans | Mar 05 | Titans | -4.20 |