NRL Predictions for Round 12
Team Ratings for Round 12
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
---|---|---|---|
Panthers | 16.59 | 14.26 | 2.30 |
Storm | 16.07 | 19.20 | -3.10 |
Rabbitohs | 6.81 | 15.81 | -9.00 |
Sea Eagles | 4.01 | 10.99 | -7.00 |
Eels | 3.44 | 2.54 | 0.90 |
Roosters | 1.99 | 2.23 | -0.20 |
Sharks | 0.99 | -1.10 | 2.10 |
Cowboys | 0.00 | -12.27 | 12.30 |
Raiders | -1.02 | -1.10 | 0.10 |
Broncos | -1.08 | -8.90 | 7.80 |
Titans | -4.06 | 1.05 | -5.10 |
Dragons | -7.42 | -7.99 | 0.60 |
Warriors | -7.53 | -8.99 | 1.50 |
Wests Tigers | -9.10 | -10.94 | 1.80 |
Knights | -10.35 | -6.54 | -3.80 |
Bulldogs | -11.36 | -10.25 | -1.10 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 88 matches played, 60 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 68.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Knights vs. Broncos | May 19 | 12 – 36 | -3.90 | TRUE |
2 | Wests Tigers vs. Bulldogs | May 20 | 36 – 22 | 4.00 | TRUE |
3 | Eels vs. Sea Eagles | May 20 | 22 – 20 | 2.50 | TRUE |
4 | Dragons vs. Warriors | May 21 | 24 – 18 | 5.50 | TRUE |
5 | Cowboys vs. Storm | May 21 | 36 – 6 | -18.30 | FALSE |
6 | Roosters vs. Panthers | May 21 | 12 – 32 | -10.40 | TRUE |
7 | Rabbitohs vs. Raiders | May 22 | 12 – 32 | 14.70 | FALSE |
8 | Titans vs. Sharks | May 22 | 18 – 25 | -1.10 | TRUE |
Predictions for Round 12
Here are the predictions for Round 12. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Storm vs. Sea Eagles | May 26 | Storm | 15.10 |
2 | Panthers vs. Cowboys | May 27 | Panthers | 19.60 |
3 | Broncos vs. Titans | May 27 | Broncos | 6.00 |
4 | Warriors vs. Knights | May 28 | Warriors | 2.80 |
5 | Rabbitohs vs. Wests Tigers | May 28 | Rabbitohs | 18.90 |
6 | Sharks vs. Roosters | May 28 | Sharks | 2.00 |
7 | Bulldogs vs. Dragons | May 29 | Dragons | -0.90 |
8 | Raiders vs. Eels | May 29 | Eels | -1.50 |
David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation. See all posts by David Scott »
Very happy about your prediction about NRL tips.. have a blessed day
2 years ago
Tipper
2 years ago
Can you indicate the over and under predictions for the nrl round 12 please.
2 years ago
can you predict over and under for all the games this week
2 years ago
Exactly like mine good tipping
2 years ago
With the starting and current ratings, it seems that you have given a well prediction of the tips.
By the way, mine is almost exactly the same but had tipped Knights over warriors.
2 years ago
Thankyou Mr David Scott.
From PNG 🇵🇬
2 years ago
Agree with your tips
2 years ago
Thanks.
2 years ago
Nrl tips with ground of play
2 years ago
Storms
Panthers
Broncos
Knights
Rabbitohs
Roosters
Dragons
Ells
2 years ago
Can you please predict 1-2 and 13+ for me
2 years ago
Storms
Panthers
Broncos
Knights
Rabbitohs
Roosters
Dragons
Ells
2 years ago
Thanks for your nrl tips.
2 years ago
110% first 3 tips, with you.
2 years ago
Please need your assistance on nrl round 12 tips and scores if possible.
2 years ago
Sea Eagles
Cowboys
Broncos
Warriors
Rabbitohs
Roosters
Dragons
Raiders
2 years ago
Storms
Cowboye
Broncos
Warriors
Rabbitohs
Sharks
Dragons
Eels
2 years ago
1:storms.
2: panthers
3: warriors
4: Dragons
5: Broncos
6: Rabbitohs
7: Rooster
8:Eels
2 years ago
Can you give me tips and stats for today and Sunday
2 years ago
Storms
Cowboys
Broncos
Knights
Tigers
Roosters
Dragons
Raiders
2 years ago
Your tips correlate to mine. Thank you and keep up the good job.
2 years ago
My tipping
Storms
Panthers
Broncos
Knights
Rabbitohs
Roosters
Bulldogs
Raiders
2 years ago
Mainly
Cowboys
Broncos
Knights
West Tigers
Sharks
Dragons
Raiders
2 years ago
Storms
Panthers
Broncos
Warriors
Tigers
Sharks
Dragons
Raiders
2 years ago
Like to watch NLR
2 years ago
Croker is out means Raiders will lose
2 years ago
Sir, Your tips are perfect.
And also one more thing if you can also predicts your tips in margins too, please,
Thanks you,
PNG
2 years ago