Posts from April 2017 (34)

April 3, 2017

How big is that?

From Stuff and the Science Media Centre

Dr Sean Weaver’s start-up business has saved over 7000 hectares of native rainforest in Southland and the Pacific

So, how much is that? I wasn’t sure, either.  Here’s an official StatsChat Bogus Poll to see how good your spatial numeracy is;

The recently ex-kids are ok

The New York Times had a story last week with the headline “Do Millennial Men Want Stay-at-Home Wives?”, and this depressing graphnyt

But, the graph doesn’t have any uncertainty indications, and while the General Social Survey is well-designed, that’s a pretty small age group (and also, an idiosyncratic definition of ‘millennial’)

So, I looked up the data and drew a graph with confidence intervals (full code here)

foo

See the last point? The 2016 data have recently been released. Adding a year of data and uncertainty indications makes it clear there’s less support for the conclusion that it looked.

Other people did similar things: Emily Beam has a long post  including some context

The Pepin and Cotter piece, in fact, presents two additional figures in direct contrast with the garbage millennial theory – in Monitoring the Future, millennial men’s support for women in the public sphere has plateaued, not fallen; and attitudes about women working have continued to improve, not worsen. Their conclusion is, therefore, that they find some evidence of a move away from gender equality – a nuance that’s since been lost in the discussion of their work.

and Kieran Healy tweeted

 

As a rule if you see survey data (especially on a small subset of the population) without any uncertainty displayed, be suspicious.

Also, it’s impressive how easy these sorts of analysis are with modern technology. They used to require serious computing, expensive software, and potentially some work to access the data.  I did mine in an airport: commodity laptop, free WiFi, free software, user-friendly open-data archive.   One reason that basic statistics training has become much more useful in the past few decades is that so many of the other barriers to DIY analysis have been removed.

Stat of the Week Competition: April 1 – 7 2017

Each week, we would like to invite readers of Stats Chat to submit nominations for our Stat of the Week competition and be in with the chance to win an iTunes voucher.

Here’s how it works:

  • Anyone may add a comment on this post to nominate their Stat of the Week candidate before midday Friday April 7 2017.
  • Statistics can be bad, exemplary or fascinating.
  • The statistic must be in the NZ media during the period of April 1 – 7 2017 inclusive.
  • Quote the statistic, when and where it was published and tell us why it should be our Stat of the Week.

Next Monday at midday we’ll announce the winner of this week’s Stat of the Week competition, and start a new one.

(more…)

Stat of the Week Competition Discussion: April 1 – 7 2017

If you’d like to comment on or debate any of this week’s Stat of the Week nominations, please do so below!