Currie Cup Predictions for the Currie Cup Final
Team Ratings for the Currie Cup Final
The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.
Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
---|---|---|---|
Lions | 9.42 | 9.69 | -0.30 |
Cheetahs | 7.26 | -3.42 | 10.70 |
Blue Bulls | 4.82 | 1.80 | 3.00 |
Western Province | 2.97 | 6.46 | -3.50 |
Sharks | 2.67 | -0.60 | 3.30 |
Pumas | -12.52 | -8.62 | -3.90 |
Griquas | -12.69 | -12.45 | -0.20 |
Cavaliers | -13.07 | -10.00 | -3.10 |
Kings | -20.29 | -14.29 | -6.00 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 37 matches played, 27 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 73%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Blue Bulls vs. Western Province | Oct 15 | 36 – 30 | 5.20 | TRUE |
2 | Cheetahs vs. Lions | Oct 15 | 55 – 17 | -2.50 | FALSE |
Predictions for the Currie Cup Final
Here are the predictions for the Currie Cup Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cheetahs vs. Blue Bulls | Oct 22 | Cheetahs | 5.90 |