January 21, 2015

How to feel good about New Zealand

StatsChat criticises the NZ media a lot, but if you really want a target-rich zone, the place is the UK. Today, the Daily Express had this front page:

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The biggest vote on this country’s ties to ­Brussels for 40 years saw 80 per cent say they no longer want to be in Europe, the ­Daily Express can reveal.

It marks a huge leap forward in this news­paper’s crusade to get Britain out of the EU.

 

This comes from a survey in three Conservative electorates in the southern UK (out of 650 electorates), where 100,000 questionnaires were distributed. About 12% said Britain should leave the EUK, about 3% were opposed, and the other 85% didn’t respond.

Other, better-conducted polling doesn’t find such a dramatic lead. Even a late-December poll by “Get Britain Out” found only 51% support for leaving the EU and consoled themselves by describing this as showing their campaign was gaining momentum.

(via @federicacocco)

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Thomas Lumley (@tslumley) is Professor of Biostatistics at the University of Auckland. His research interests include semiparametric models, survey sampling, statistical computing, foundations of statistics, and whatever methodological problems his medical collaborators come up with. He also blogs at Biased and Inefficient See all posts by Thomas Lumley »

Comments

  • avatar
    Helen Robinson

    “About 12% said Britain should leave the UK”

    Muphry’s Law strikes again.

    10 years ago

    • avatar
      Thomas Lumley

      Ok, yes. That was the previous referendum.

      10 years ago