NRL Predictions for Round 2
The basic method is described on my Department home page. I have made some changes to the methodology this year, including shrinking the ratings between seasons.
This week I don’t have full details because I have limited internet access and am having to copy the details from my computer.
Predictions for Round 2
Here are the predictions for Round 2. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.
| Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sea Eagles vs. Rabbitohs | Mar 14 | Sea Eagles | 5.20 |
| 2 | Broncos vs. Cowboys | Mar 14 | Cowboys | -3.40 |
| 3 | Warriors vs. Dragons | Mar 15 | Warriors | 7.40 |
| 4 | Storm vs. Panthers | Mar 15 | Storm | 13.10 |
| 5 | Roosters vs Eels | Mar 15 | Roosters | 30.50 |
| 6 | Titans vs. Wests Tigers | Mar 16 | Titans | 19.40 |
| 7 | Knights vs. Raiders | Mar 16 | Knights | 15.30 |
| 8 | Bulldogs vs. Sharks | Mar 17 | Bulldogs | 4.10 |
David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation. See all posts by David Scott »