September 3, 2012
Top of the table: David Scott’s Super 15 success
This appeared in Uni News, the internal University of Auckland magazine sent to a wide outside audience, a week or so after the end of the Super 15. David came top equal with sports writer Dylan Cleaver, and says he’ll be spending time over this summer “looking at some possible improvements to the prediction method”. Watch this space!
Atakohu Middleton is an Auckland journalist with a keen interest in the way the media uses/abuses data. She happens to be married to a statistician. See all posts by Atakohu Middleton »
Has he compared notes with David Dowe in Monash, who runs a ‘footy tipping’ competition?
12 years ago
I have looked at David Dowe’s tipping competition. It appears that most of the tippers use non-algorithmic methods, the difference between this and other tipping competitions is that besides the normal approach of tipping the winner and margin there are competitions for tipping the probability of winning and for giving a winning margin with a standard deviation. Some competitors are termed autotippers (http://www.csse.monash.edu.au/~footy/autoTippers.shtml). They use algorithmic methods, but the methods described seem fairly simple. Probably some autotippers use more sophisticated methods however.
12 years ago