NRL Predictions, Round 25
Team Ratings for Round 25
Here are the team ratings prior to Round 25, along with the ratings at the start of the season. I have created a brief description of the method I use for predicting rugby games. Go to my Department home page to see this.
| Current Rating | Rating at Season Start | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | 7.81 | -1.86 | 9.70 |
| Sea Eagles | 5.87 | 9.83 | -4.00 |
| Cowboys | 5.44 | -1.32 | 6.80 |
| Storm | 4.44 | 4.63 | -0.20 |
| Rabbitohs | 2.89 | 0.04 | 2.80 |
| Knights | 0.98 | 0.77 | 0.20 |
| Wests Tigers | 0.94 | 4.52 | -3.60 |
| Broncos | -0.25 | 5.57 | -5.80 |
| Titans | -0.43 | -11.80 | 11.40 |
| Sharks | -0.75 | -7.97 | 7.20 |
| Raiders | -2.75 | -8.40 | 5.60 |
| Dragons | -4.22 | 4.36 | -8.60 |
| Warriors | -4.47 | 5.28 | -9.70 |
| Eels | -5.00 | -4.23 | -0.80 |
| Roosters | -6.08 | 0.25 | -6.30 |
| Panthers | -8.15 | -3.40 | -4.70 |
Performance So Far
So far there have been 176 matches played, 103 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 58.52%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.
| Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broncos vs. Storm | Aug 17 | 18 – 19 | -0.04 | TRUE |
| 2 | Bulldogs vs. Wests Tigers | Aug 17 | 23 – 22 | 13.35 | TRUE |
| 3 | Raiders vs. Roosters | Aug 18 | 24 – 20 | 8.56 | TRUE |
| 4 | Sharks vs. Rabbitohs | Aug 18 | 20 – 7 | -1.45 | FALSE |
| 5 | Titans vs. Eels | Aug 19 | 24 – 16 | 9.27 | TRUE |
| 6 | Warriors vs. Panthers | Aug 19 | 16 – 18 | 10.12 | FALSE |
| 7 | Sea Eagles vs. Knights | Aug 19 | 42 – 20 | 6.99 | TRUE |
| 8 | Dragons vs. Cowboys | Aug 20 | 22 – 32 | -4.24 | TRUE |
Predictions for Round 25
Here are the predictions for Round 25
| Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sea Eagles vs. Broncos | Aug 24 | Sea Eagles | 10.60 |
| 2 | Raiders vs. Bulldogs | Aug 24 | Bulldogs | -6.10 |
| 3 | Panthers vs. Titans | Aug 25 | Titans | -3.20 |
| 4 | Dragons vs. Warriors | Aug 25 | Dragons | 4.70 |
| 5 | Cowboys vs. Knights | Aug 25 | Cowboys | 9.00 |
| 6 | Roosters vs. Wests Tigers | Aug 26 | Wests Tigers | -2.50 |
| 7 | Rabbitohs vs. Eels | Aug 26 | Rabbitohs | 12.40 |
| 8 | Storm vs. Sharks | Aug 27 | Storm | 9.70 |
David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation. See all posts by David Scott »