Semi-Final Predictions for RWC 2011
Current Team Ratings
Here are the team ratings for the semi-finalists as of October 10, 2011.
Rating | |
---|---|
New Zealand | 30.91 |
Australia | 21.54 |
Wales | 15.35 |
France | 9.86 |
There has not been much change in the ratings as a result of the Quarter Final games. Wales and France have each improved their rating by about a point. The All Blacks have gone down by half a point.
Performance So Far
So far there have been 44 matches played, 39 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 88.6%.
Here are the predictions for the games so far.
Game | Date | Score | Prediction | Correct | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | New Zealand vs. Tonga | Sep 09 | 41 – 10 | 51.03 | TRUE |
2 | Argentina vs. England | Sep 10 | 9 – 13 | -6.77 | TRUE |
3 | Fiji vs. Namibia | Sep 10 | 49 – 25 | 22.51 | TRUE |
4 | France vs. Japan | Sep 10 | 47 – 21 | 33.94 | TRUE |
5 | Scotland vs. Romania | Sep 10 | 34 – 24 | 32.68 | TRUE |
6 | Australia vs. Italy | Sep 11 | 32 – 6 | 25.75 | TRUE |
7 | Ireland vs. USA | Sep 11 | 22 – 10 | 35.93 | TRUE |
8 | South Africa vs. Wales | Sep 11 | 17 – 16 | 10.51 | TRUE |
9 | Samoa vs. Namibia | Sep 14 | 49 – 12 | 30.95 | TRUE |
10 | Scotland vs. Georgia | Sep 14 | 15 – 6 | 28.04 | TRUE |
11 | Tonga vs. Canada | Sep 14 | 20 – 25 | 1.53 | FALSE |
12 | Russia vs. USA | Sep 15 | 6 – 13 | -7.75 | TRUE |
13 | New Zealand vs. Japan | Sep 16 | 83 – 7 | 56.20 | TRUE |
14 | Argentina vs. Romania | Sep 17 | 43 – 8 | 33.00 | TRUE |
15 | Australia vs. Ireland | Sep 17 | 6 – 15 | 16.26 | FALSE |
16 | South Africa vs. Fiji | Sep 17 | 49 – 3 | 35.32 | TRUE |
17 | England vs. Georgia | Sep 18 | 41 – 10 | 36.79 | TRUE |
18 | France vs. Canada | Sep 18 | 46 – 19 | 25.29 | TRUE |
19 | Wales vs. Samoa | Sep 18 | 17 – 10 | 17.64 | TRUE |
20 | Italy vs. Russia | Sep 20 | 53 – 17 | 30.27 | TRUE |
21 | Tonga vs. Japan | Sep 21 | 31 – 18 | 9.44 | TRUE |
22 | South Africa vs. Namibia | Sep 22 | 87 – 0 | 59.41 | TRUE |
23 | Australia vs. USA | Sep 23 | 67 – 5 | 46.40 | TRUE |
24 | England vs. Romania | Sep 24 | 67 – 3 | 39.03 | TRUE |
25 | New Zealand vs. France | Sep 24 | 37 – 17 | 24.98 | TRUE |
26 | Argentina vs. Scotland | Sep 25 | 13 – 12 | 5.63 | TRUE |
27 | Fiji vs. Samoa | Sep 25 | 7 – 27 | -10.39 | TRUE |
28 | Ireland vs. Russia | Sep 25 | 62 – 12 | 42.28 | TRUE |
29 | Wales vs. Namibia | Sep 26 | 81 – 7 | 50.92 | TRUE |
30 | Canada vs. Japan | Sep 27 | 23 – 23 | 9.11 | FALSE |
31 | Italy vs. USA | Sep 27 | 27 – 10 | 24.34 | TRUE |
32 | Georgia vs. Romania | Sep 28 | 25 – 9 | 5.16 | TRUE |
33 | South Africa vs. Samoa | Sep 30 | 13 – 5 | 28.08 | TRUE |
34 | Australia vs. Russia | Oct 01 | 68 – 22 | 56.36 | TRUE |
35 | England vs. Scotland | Oct 01 | 16 – 12 | 12.96 | TRUE |
36 | France vs. Tonga | Oct 01 | 14 – 19 | 25.06 | FALSE |
37 | Argentina vs. Georgia | Oct 02 | 25 – 7 | 28.92 | TRUE |
38 | Ireland vs. Italy | Oct 02 | 36 – 6 | 12.30 | TRUE |
39 | New Zealand vs. Canada | Oct 02 | 79 – 15 | 50.88 | TRUE |
40 | Wales vs. Fiji | Oct 02 | 66 – 0 | 28.95 | TRUE |
41 | Ireland vs. Wales | Oct 08 | 10 – 22 | -3.92 | TRUE |
42 | England vs. France | Oct 08 | 12 – 19 | 4.87 | FALSE |
43 | South Africa vs. Australia | Oct 09 | 9 – 11 | -0.20 | TRUE |
44 | New Zealand vs. Argentina | Oct 09 | 33 – 10 | 31.00 | TRUE |
Predictions for the Semi-Finals
Here are the predictions for the semi-final games
Game | Date | Winner | Prediction | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Wales vs. France | Oct 15 | Wales | 5.50 |
2 | New Zealand vs. Australia | Oct 16 | New Zealand | 14.40 |
David Scott obtained a BA and PhD from the Australian National University and then commenced his university teaching career at La Trobe University in 1972. He has taught at La Trobe University, the University of Sheffield, Bond University and Colorado State University, joining the University of Auckland, based at Tamaki Campus, in mid-1995. He has been Head of Department at La Trobe University, Acting Dean and Associate Dean (Academic) at Bond University, and Associate Director of the Centre for Quality Management and Data Analysis at Bond University with responsibility for Short Courses. He was Head of the Department of Statistics in 2000, and is a past President of the New Zealand Statistical Assocation. See all posts by David Scott »