October 27, 2026

United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 5

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Team Ratings for Week 5

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Leinster 10.37 12.13 -1.80
Bulls 10.04 10.00 0.00
Glasgow 6.73 6.47 0.30
Stormers 6.30 6.49 -0.20
Sharks 4.06 2.16 1.90
Munster 2.35 1.25 1.10
Edinburgh 1.01 -2.55 3.60
Connacht 0.75 2.62 -1.90
Ulster 0.72 -0.32 1.00
Lions 0.49 1.48 -1.00
Ospreys -2.74 -3.35 0.60
Cardiff Rugby -3.24 -1.63 -1.60
Scarlets -5.11 -3.47 -1.60
Benetton -6.22 -6.67 0.50
Dragons -10.04 -10.04 -0.00
Zebre -15.47 -14.56 -0.90

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 32 matches played, 20 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 62.5%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Cardiff Rugby vs. Sharks Oct 24 21 – 36 -0.20 TRUE
2 Connacht vs. Zebre Oct 24 48 – 27 21.90 TRUE
3 Edinburgh vs. Lions Oct 24 31 – 10 4.30 TRUE
4 Bulls vs. Ulster Oct 25 34 – 26 17.00 TRUE
5 Benetton vs. Glasgow Oct 25 20 – 24 -8.50 TRUE
6 Stormers vs. Scarlets Oct 25 52 – 40 18.50 TRUE
7 Leinster vs. Munster Oct 25 24 – 18 12.00 TRUE
8 Ospreys vs. Dragons Oct 25 31 – 14 7.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 5

Here are the predictions for Week 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Connacht vs. Leinster Oct 31 Leinster -7.10
2 Glasgow vs. Lions Oct 31 Glasgow 11.70
3 Stormers vs. Ulster Nov 01 Stormers 11.10
4 Benetton vs. Edinburgh Nov 01 Edinburgh -1.70
5 Bulls vs. Scarlets Nov 01 Bulls 20.70
6 Dragons vs. Zebre Nov 01 Dragons 10.90
7 Munster vs. Sharks Nov 01 Munster 3.80
8 Ospreys vs. Cardiff Rugby Nov 01 Ospreys 3.00

 

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Top 14 Predictions for Round 8

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Team Ratings for Round 8

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Stade Toulousain 11.44 12.37 -0.90
Montpellier 6.94 6.36 0.60
Bordeaux Begles 5.82 3.70 2.10
Stade Rochelais 4.75 4.97 -0.20
Stade Francais 4.21 5.68 -1.50
Section Paloise 4.17 4.18 -0.00
Clermont 2.36 4.21 -1.90
Racing 92 1.44 3.59 -2.10
Toulon 0.25 -0.81 1.10
Lyon -0.15 -0.94 0.80
Castres Olympique -0.49 -0.29 -0.20
Bayonne -1.75 -2.02 0.30
USA Perpignan -4.57 -5.39 0.80
Vannes -8.82 -10.00 1.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 49 matches played, 35 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bayonne vs. Lyon Oct 25 27 – 31 5.60 FALSE
2 Castres Olympique vs. Stade Francais Oct 25 16 – 8 1.00 TRUE
3 Racing 92 vs. Montpellier Oct 25 17 – 20 1.60 FALSE
4 Stade Rochelais vs. Bordeaux Begles Oct 25 19 – 25 6.30 FALSE
5 Stade Toulousain vs. USA Perpignan Oct 25 38 – 33 23.80 TRUE
6 Toulon vs. Section Paloise Oct 25 41 – 20 1.30 TRUE
7 Vannes vs. Clermont Oct 25 27 – 26 -5.50 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 8

Here are the predictions for Round 8. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bordeaux Begles vs. Bayonne Nov 01 Bordeaux Begles 14.10
2 Clermont vs. Racing 92 Nov 01 Clermont 7.40
3 Lyon vs. Vannes Nov 01 Lyon 15.20
4 Montpellier vs. Castres Olympique Nov 01 Montpellier 13.90
5 Stade Francais vs. Stade Rochelais Nov 01 Stade Francais 6.00
6 USA Perpignan vs. Toulon Nov 01 USA Perpignan 1.70
7 Section Paloise vs. Stade Toulousain Nov 02 Stade Toulousain -0.80

 

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Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 5

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Team Ratings for Round 5

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Leicester Tigers 8.05 9.92 -1.90
Bath 7.08 9.66 -2.60
Northampton Saints 6.87 8.34 -1.50
Saracens 6.22 8.04 -1.80
Gloucester 3.69 -3.46 7.20
Exeter Chiefs 2.76 7.58 -4.80
Bristol 1.94 -0.11 2.10
Sale Sharks -4.26 -2.31 -2.00
Harlequins -4.46 -3.58 -0.90
Newcastle Red Bulls -19.17 -25.37 6.20

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 20 matches played, 14 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 70%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Gloucester vs. Bath Oct 24 23 – 5 1.10 TRUE
2 Newcastle Red Bulls vs. Sale Sharks Oct 24 17 – 3 -11.60 FALSE
3 Leicester Tigers vs. Northampton Saints Oct 25 28 – 7 5.90 TRUE
4 Bristol vs. Exeter Chiefs Oct 25 20 – 7 4.90 TRUE
5 Harlequins vs. Saracens Oct 26 33 – 15 -7.40 FALSE

 

Predictions for Round 5

Here are the predictions for Round 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bristol vs. Leicester Tigers Oct 31 Bristol 0.90
2 Exeter Chiefs vs. Harlequins Nov 01 Exeter Chiefs 14.20
3 Saracens vs. Newcastle Red Bulls Nov 01 Saracens 32.40
4 Bath vs. Sale Sharks Nov 01 Bath 18.30
5 Northampton Saints vs. Gloucester Nov 01 Northampton Saints 10.20

 

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NFL Predictions for Week 8

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Team Ratings for Week 8

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Seahawks 8.91 12.03 -3.10
Patriots 6.12 8.11 -2.00
Bills 5.47 4.81 0.70
Jaguars 5.05 4.17 0.90
Broncos 4.61 4.07 0.50
Rams 3.98 6.16 -2.20
49ers 3.89 0.63 3.30
Vikings 3.79 2.79 1.00
Bears 3.52 1.18 2.30
Bengals 3.25 0.39 2.90
Lions 2.88 5.20 -2.30
Texans 1.91 5.51 -3.60
Chiefs 1.81 -1.34 3.20
Steelers 1.15 -0.43 1.60
Packers 0.80 1.72 -0.90
Buccaneers -0.82 -3.95 3.10
Falcons -0.82 -1.39 0.60
Ravens -0.97 2.53 -3.50
Cowboys -2.17 -3.42 1.30
Colts -2.36 -0.74 -1.60
Giants -2.40 -2.38 -0.00
Chargers -2.68 1.16 -3.80
Browns -2.80 -2.50 -0.30
Raiders -3.51 -5.72 2.20
Saints -3.57 -3.38 -0.20
Eagles -3.78 0.73 -4.50
Panthers -4.02 -4.66 0.60
Commanders -4.09 -4.65 0.60
Jets -5.41 -9.84 4.40
Dolphins -5.81 -3.99 -1.80
Cardinals -7.61 -7.49 -0.10
Titans -7.85 -8.81 1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 107 matches played, 63 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 58.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Bears vs. Patriots Oct 23 30 – 24 -5.90 FALSE
2 Saints vs. Steelers Oct 26 10 – 16 -4.20 TRUE
3 Falcons vs. 49ers Oct 26 29 – 20 -7.80 FALSE
4 Ravens vs. Bengals Oct 26 13 – 35 -0.40 TRUE
5 Panthers vs. Buccaneers Oct 26 13 – 43 2.10 FALSE
6 Texans vs. Giants Oct 26 21 – 27 6.70 FALSE
7 Vikings vs. Colts Oct 26 16 – 10 6.20 TRUE
8 Jets vs. Dolphins Oct 26 25 – 28 1.70 FALSE
9 Titans vs. Browns Oct 26 24 – 27 -5.80 TRUE
10 Cardinals vs. Broncos Oct 26 16 – 30 -11.50 TRUE
11 Lions vs. Packers Oct 26 20 – 17 1.70 TRUE
12 Raiders vs. Rams Oct 26 21 – 35 -5.00 TRUE
13 Seahawks vs. Chiefs Oct 26 20 – 3 4.80 TRUE
14 Eagles vs. Cowboys Oct 27 21 – 38 1.80 FALSE

 

Predictions for Week 8

Here are the predictions for Week 8. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Packers vs. Panthers Oct 30 Packers 4.80
2 Bills vs. Ravens Nov 02 Bills 6.40
3 Bengals vs. Titans Nov 02 Bengals 11.10
4 Cowboys vs. Cardinals Nov 02 Cowboys 5.40
5 Lions vs. Vikings Nov 02 Vikings -0.90
6 Jaguars vs. Colts Nov 02 Jaguars 7.40
7 Jets vs. Raiders Nov 02 Raiders -1.90
8 Steelers vs. Browns Nov 02 Steelers 3.90
9 Buccaneers vs. Falcons Nov 02 Buccaneers 0.00
10 Rams vs. Chargers Nov 02 Rams 6.70
11 Broncos vs. Chiefs Nov 02 Broncos 2.80
12 Dolphins vs. Patriots Nov 02 Patriots -11.90
13 Commanders vs. Eagles Nov 02 Eagles -0.30
14 Seahawks vs. Bears Nov 03 Seahawks 5.40

 

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October 20, 2026

Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Final

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Team Ratings for the Final

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Canterbury 10.66 10.29 0.40
Taranaki 10.15 7.57 2.60
Otago 7.26 5.80 1.50
Northland 4.24 -5.96 10.20
Bay of Plenty 3.05 9.80 -6.80
Hawke’s Bay 2.56 5.18 -2.60
North Harbour 1.87 -4.18 6.00
Tasman 1.60 0.68 0.90
Auckland -1.21 -2.64 1.40
Waikato -1.89 -0.83 -1.10
Counties Manukau -1.91 3.63 -5.50
Manawatu -8.51 -15.05 6.50
Wellington -10.77 2.70 -13.50
Southland -10.93 -10.83 -0.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 76 matches played, 49 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 64.5%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Northland vs. Otago Oct 16 38 – 19 -2.80 FALSE
2 Canterbury vs. Taranaki Oct 17 38 – 28 1.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for the Final

Here are the predictions for the Final. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Canterbury vs. Northland Oct 17 Canterbury 9.40

 

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NFL Predictions for Week 7

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Team Ratings for Week 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Patriots 7.79 8.11 -0.30
Seahawks 7.74 12.03 -4.30
Bills 5.47 4.81 0.70
49ers 5.43 0.63 4.80
Jaguars 5.05 4.17 0.90
Broncos 4.26 4.07 0.20
Vikings 3.81 2.79 1.00
Texans 3.13 5.51 -2.40
Chiefs 2.99 -1.34 4.30
Rams 2.72 6.16 -3.40
Lions 2.70 5.20 -2.50
Bears 1.85 1.18 0.70
Bengals 1.34 0.39 0.90
Packers 0.98 1.72 -0.70
Ravens 0.94 2.53 -1.60
Steelers 0.90 -0.43 1.30
Panthers -1.35 -4.66 3.30
Eagles -2.08 0.73 -2.80
Raiders -2.24 -5.72 3.50
Falcons -2.36 -1.39 -1.00
Colts -2.38 -0.74 -1.60
Browns -2.40 -2.50 0.10
Chargers -2.68 1.16 -3.80
Saints -3.32 -3.38 0.10
Buccaneers -3.49 -3.95 0.50
Giants -3.61 -2.38 -1.20
Cowboys -3.86 -3.42 -0.40
Commanders -4.09 -4.65 0.60
Jets -4.75 -9.84 5.10
Dolphins -6.47 -3.99 -2.50
Cardinals -7.26 -7.49 0.20
Titans -8.25 -8.81 0.60

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 93 matches played, 55 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 59.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Broncos vs. Seahawks Oct 16 17 – 14 -6.00 FALSE
2 Jaguars vs. Texans Oct 19 31 – 34 3.80 FALSE
3 Falcons vs. Bears Oct 19 23 – 31 -2.70 TRUE
4 Browns vs. Ravens Oct 19 13 – 10 -5.80 FALSE
5 Colts vs. Titans Oct 19 20 – 26 8.60 FALSE
6 Patriots vs. Jets Oct 19 26 – 19 14.70 TRUE
7 Giants vs. Saints Oct 19 27 – 34 2.30 FALSE
8 Eagles vs. Panthers Oct 19 14 – 25 1.70 FALSE
9 Buccaneers vs. Steelers Oct 19 19 – 26 -3.40 TRUE
10 Rams vs. Cardinals Oct 19 16 – 18 12.70 FALSE
11 Chiefs vs. Chargers Oct 19 22 – 6 3.20 TRUE
12 Raiders vs. Bills Oct 19 30 – 33 -9.60 TRUE
13 Packers vs. Cowboys Oct 19 23 – 13 2.80 TRUE
14 49ers vs. Commanders Oct 20 23 – 17 10.90 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 7

Here are the predictions for Week 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bears vs. Patriots Oct 23 Patriots -5.90
2 Saints vs. Steelers Oct 26 Steelers -4.20
3 Falcons vs. 49ers Oct 26 49ers -7.80
4 Ravens vs. Bengals Oct 26 Bengals -0.40
5 Panthers vs. Buccaneers Oct 26 Panthers 2.10
6 Texans vs. Giants Oct 26 Texans 6.70
7 Vikings vs. Colts Oct 26 Vikings 6.20
8 Jets vs. Dolphins Oct 26 Jets 1.70
9 Titans vs. Browns Oct 26 Browns -5.80
10 Cardinals vs. Broncos Oct 26 Broncos -11.50
11 Lions vs. Packers Oct 26 Lions 1.70
12 Raiders vs. Rams Oct 26 Rams -5.00
13 Seahawks vs. Chiefs Oct 26 Seahawks 4.80
14 Eagles vs. Cowboys Oct 27 Eagles 1.80

 

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October 13, 2026

United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 4

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Team Ratings for Week 4

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

 

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Bulls 11.12 10.00 1.10
Leinster 11.09 12.13 -1.00
Glasgow 7.28 6.47 0.80
Stormers 7.08 6.49 0.60
Sharks 3.27 2.16 1.10
Munster 1.63 1.25 0.40
Lions 1.35 1.48 -0.10
Connacht 0.87 2.62 -1.70
Edinburgh 0.15 -2.55 2.70
Ulster -0.36 -0.32 -0.00
Cardiff Rugby -2.45 -1.63 -0.80
Ospreys -3.87 -3.35 -0.50
Scarlets -5.89 -3.47 -2.40
Benetton -6.76 -6.67 -0.10
Dragons -8.91 -10.04 1.10
Zebre -15.58 -14.56 -1.00

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 24 matches played, 12 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 50%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

 

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Dragons vs. Ospreys Oct 10 31 – 38 -1.10 TRUE
2 Glasgow vs. Connacht Oct 10 36 – 19 10.30 TRUE
3 Bulls vs. Lions Oct 11 57 – 15 9.50 TRUE
4 Stormers vs. Sharks Oct 11 39 – 22 4.90 TRUE
5 Zebre vs. Edinburgh Oct 11 12 – 29 -8.10 TRUE
6 Scarlets vs. Benetton Oct 11 27 – 26 8.10 TRUE
7 Ulster vs. Munster Oct 11 26 – 26 0.70 FALSE
8 Leinster vs. Cardiff Rugby Oct 11 29 – 5 17.50 TRUE

 

Predictions for Week 4

Here are the predictions for Week 4. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

 

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Cardiff Rugby vs. Sharks Oct 24 Sharks -0.20
2 Connacht vs. Zebre Oct 24 Connacht 21.90
3 Edinburgh vs. Lions Oct 24 Edinburgh 4.30
4 Bulls vs. Ulster Oct 25 Bulls 17.00
5 Benetton vs. Glasgow Oct 25 Glasgow -8.50
6 Stormers vs. Scarlets Oct 25 Stormers 18.50
7 Leinster vs. Munster Oct 25 Leinster 12.00
8 Ospreys vs. Dragons Oct 25 Ospreys 7.50

 

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Top 14 Predictions for Round 7

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Team Ratings for Round 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Stade Toulousain 12.06 12.37 -0.30
Montpellier 6.67 6.36 0.30
Bordeaux Begles 5.37 3.70 1.70
Stade Rochelais 5.20 4.97 0.20
Section Paloise 4.82 4.18 0.60
Stade Francais 4.63 5.68 -1.00
Clermont 2.75 4.21 -1.50
Racing 92 1.72 3.59 -1.90
Toulon -0.40 -0.81 0.40
Lyon -0.52 -0.94 0.40
Castres Olympique -0.91 -0.29 -0.60
Bayonne -1.38 -2.02 0.60
USA Perpignan -5.20 -5.39 0.20
Vannes -9.20 -10.00 0.80

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 42 matches played, 32 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 76.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Clermont vs. Bordeaux Begles Oct 11 22 – 23 4.50 FALSE
2 Lyon vs. Stade Rochelais Oct 11 16 – 28 1.80 FALSE
3 Section Paloise vs. Castres Olympique Oct 11 35 – 26 12.70 TRUE
4 Stade Francais vs. Montpellier Oct 11 30 – 22 4.00 TRUE
5 Stade Toulousain vs. Bayonne Oct 11 45 – 34 20.70 TRUE
6 Toulon vs. Racing 92 Oct 11 29 – 15 3.60 TRUE
7 USA Perpignan vs. Vannes Oct 11 21 – 12 10.70 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 7

Here are the predictions for Round 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Bayonne vs. Lyon Oct 25 Bayonne 5.60
2 Castres Olympique vs. Stade Francais Oct 25 Castres Olympique 1.00
3 Racing 92 vs. Montpellier Oct 25 Racing 92 1.60
4 Stade Rochelais vs. Bordeaux Begles Oct 25 Stade Rochelais 6.30
5 Stade Toulousain vs. USA Perpignan Oct 25 Stade Toulousain 23.80
6 Toulon vs. Section Paloise Oct 25 Toulon 1.30
7 Vannes vs. Clermont Oct 25 Clermont -5.50

 

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Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 4

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Team Ratings for Round 4

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Bath 8.36 9.66 -1.30
Saracens 8.06 8.04 0.00
Northampton Saints 8.02 8.34 -0.30
Leicester Tigers 6.90 9.92 -3.00
Exeter Chiefs 3.42 7.58 -4.20
Gloucester 2.41 -3.46 5.90
Bristol 1.28 -0.11 1.40
Sale Sharks -2.40 -2.31 -0.10
Harlequins -6.30 -3.58 -2.70
Newcastle Red Bulls -21.02 -25.37 4.30

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 15 matches played, 11 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 73.3%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Leicester Tigers vs. Gloucester Oct 10 38 – 31 12.60 TRUE
2 Northampton Saints vs. Bath Oct 11 71 – 48 3.80 TRUE
3 Saracens vs. Bristol Oct 11 30 – 7 12.10 TRUE
4 Exeter Chiefs vs. Newcastle Red Bulls Oct 12 34 – 28 35.70 TRUE
5 Sale Sharks vs. Harlequins Oct 12 28 – 24 12.20 TRUE

 

Predictions for Round 4

Here are the predictions for Round 4. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Gloucester vs. Bath Oct 24 Gloucester 1.10
2 Newcastle Red Bulls vs. Sale Sharks Oct 24 Sale Sharks -11.60
3 Leicester Tigers vs. Northampton Saints Oct 25 Leicester Tigers 5.90
4 Bristol vs. Exeter Chiefs Oct 25 Bristol 4.90
5 Harlequins vs. Saracens Oct 26 Saracens -7.40

 

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Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Semi-Finals

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Team Ratings for the Semi-Finals

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Current Rating Rating at Season Start Difference
Taranaki 11.18 7.57 3.60
Canterbury 9.63 10.29 -0.70
Otago 8.67 5.80 2.90
Bay of Plenty 3.05 9.80 -6.80
Northland 2.82 -5.96 8.80
Hawke’s Bay 2.56 5.18 -2.60
North Harbour 1.87 -4.18 6.00
Tasman 1.60 0.68 0.90
Auckland -1.21 -2.64 1.40
Waikato -1.89 -0.83 -1.10
Counties Manukau -1.91 3.63 -5.50
Manawatu -8.51 -15.05 6.50
Wellington -10.77 2.70 -13.50
Southland -10.93 -10.83 -0.10

 

Performance So Far

So far there have been 74 matches played, 48 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 64.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

Game Date Score Prediction Correct
1 Northland vs. Tasman Oct 09 26 – 21 4.00 TRUE
2 North Harbour vs. Taranaki Oct 10 31 – 50 -4.20 TRUE
3 Otago vs. Hawke’s Bay Oct 10 50 – 14 5.40 TRUE
4 Canterbury vs. Waikato Oct 11 62 – 26 11.40 TRUE

 

Predictions for the Semi-Finals

Here are the predictions for the Semi-Finals. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

Game Date Winner Prediction
1 Northland vs. Otago Oct 16 Otago -2.80
2 Canterbury vs. Taranaki Oct 17 Canterbury 1.50

 

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